ABSTRACT

The study examines long run relationship between economic growth, manufacturing output and export in Nigeria. What short run impact does manufacturing output and export have on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 and 2016. The study hypothesized the interplay of some economic variables including Gross domestic product, Manufacturing output, Export, Inflation, Labour force and credit to private sectors. Owing to the fact that Nigeria economy has been marred by periodic booms and recession as reflected in her unsteady and unsustainable economic growth rate. The study in view of role of manufacturing sub-sector and export in determining economic growth in Nigeria aim to investigate whether these factors are significant and if they are significant it means that the variables have a positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria. In executing the study unit root which is done using Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF), error correcting mechanism and also co-integration test is done using Johansen and Engel co-integration test in testing the long-run relationship between variables. It was observed from my empirical research using time series data from the Nigeria Economy shows that manufacturing output and export does not have short run significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. A major policy implication of our findings is that effort should be made by policy makers to come tax reduction and try to partner with private and manufacturing sector in order to increase their output in Nigeria.